Egyptian Pound Slides Past 53 per Dollar

The Egyptian pound weakened past 53 per US dollar on Wednesday 14 October, its lowest level since May. The Central Bank of Egypt’s official rate closed at 53.04 pounds to buy and 53.18 pounds per dollar to sell.

That compares with 52.90 pounds per dollar at Tuesday’s close, a daily move of about 0.5%. For American readers, a weaker pound makes Egypt cheaper to visit but raises risks for US investors holding Egyptian government debt.

Al Manassa, an independent Egyptian news site, said the close was the dollar’s highest since 19 May, citing central bank data. Masrawy, a Cairo news portal, said the pound broke through 53 in early trading for the first time in five months.

At Wednesday afternoon’s close, state-owned National Bank of Egypt and Banque Misr quoted 53.05 pounds to buy and 53.15 pounds per dollar to sell. Commercial International Bank (CIB), a private lender, quoted 53.18 pounds per dollar to sell, matching the central bank, Youm7 reported.

Ali Metwally, an analyst at Mosaic Economics, told Al Manassa that rising global energy prices could lift demand for dollars in Egypt. Egypt imports more petroleum products than it exports, and its petroleum trade deficit widened 31.5% in the fiscal year to June.

Brent crude has traded above US$100 a barrel since early October and reached US$107.15 on Wednesday, Al Manassa reported. The rise followed a strike on a Saudi Aramco facility by the Houthis, the Iran-aligned movement that controls much of northern Yemen.

Mina Rafik, a macroeconomic analyst at Prime Investment, said foreign investors may be leaving over regional tension and higher US bond yields. Foreign investors were net sellers of 5.8 billion pounds (about US$109 million) of Egyptian treasury bills on Wednesday.

Rafik pointed to expectations that the Federal Reserve keeps raising rates while Egypt’s central bank holds its own rates steady. That mix can shrink the extra return that draws short-term foreign money, often called hot money, into Egyptian debt.

The central bank reported on Tuesday 13 October that remittances from Egyptians abroad rose 27.2% to US$33.9 billion in January to August. That compares with US$26.6 billion in the same months of 2025, a cushion for the currency.

Banking expert Mohamed Abdel Aal told Al-Masry Al-Youm that remittances and record tourism income shield the pound from a sharp fall. He expects the rate to hold between 52 and 53 pounds to the dollar over the next two months.

Abdel Aal said Egypt’s flexible exchange rate can allow sudden jumps, but it stops a large gap opening between official and market rates. He described the latest moves as fluctuation rather than a trend with no ceiling.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) completed its seventh review of Egypt’s loan programme on 30 July, allowing about US$1.5 billion in new funds. It urged Cairo to keep the exchange rate flexible and to keep building reserves.

The IMF also expects inflation to rise to 16.7% in the second half of 2026, partly because of a weaker currency. A further slide in the pound would add to that pressure on Egyptian households.

Earlier reporting on the central bank’s reserves is in Egypt’s Reserves Hit Record US$57.35 Billion , and on the external accounts in Egypt Current Account Deficit Hits US$22.5 Billion . For background, see Who Runs Egypt’s Economy, the Key Players in 2026 , Egypt Foreign Powers 2026, Gulf, US, China and IMF and the Cairo city guide .

For American visitors, the slide means more pounds for each dollar on a trip to Cairo, Luxor or the Red Sea resorts. Rising inflation of the kind the IMF expects can wear that gain away over time.

US funds that hold Egyptian treasury bills earn high pound yields but lose value in dollar terms when the currency weakens. Wednesday’s net foreign sales show that some investors are already cutting their exposure.

Egypt imports much of its fuel, so a weaker pound raises the cost of energy bought in dollars. It also matters to Washington, which treats Cairo as a key partner on Gaza, the Suez Canal and Red Sea security.

It is not known whether the Central Bank of Egypt will let the slide continue or act to slow it. The full scale of foreign selling of Egyptian debt this week has not been published.

Oil prices and regional tension are the main swing factors for the pound in the coming weeks. If Brent eases and remittances keep rising, analysts quoted in Egyptian media see room for the rate to settle near 53.

The Central Bank of Egypt’s official rate closed at 53.04 pounds to buy and 53.18 pounds per dollar to sell on Wednesday 14 October. That was the weakest level for the pound since 19 May.

Analysts point to higher oil prices, which raise Egypt’s fuel import bill, and to foreign investors selling Egyptian treasury bills. Regional tension and higher US interest rates add to the pressure.

No, Egypt uses a flexible exchange rate set largely by supply and demand in the banking system. The IMF has urged Cairo to keep that flexibility while building reserves.

A dollar buys more pounds than it did on Tuesday, which helps visitors paying local prices. Rising inflation can reduce that gain over time.

Remittances from Egyptians abroad rose 27.2% to US$33.9 billion in January to August, and tourism income is strong. The IMF programme also gives Egypt access to new funding after each successful review.

Sources: Youm7, central bank and bank closing rates, 14 October 2026 (Arabic) ; Youm7, closing rates, 13 October 2026 (Arabic) ; Al Manassa, Egyptian pound weakens past 53 per dollar ; Masrawy, dollar passes 53 for first time in five months (Arabic) ; Al-Masry Al-Youm, why the dollar rose to 53 (Arabic) ; IMF, seventh review of Egypt’s programme, 30 July 2026 .

Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind , Editor-in-Chief · Editorial standards · Report an error

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